Now that the deadline has passed, we can see more clearly that some teams didn't fill all their needs. In particular, the Cubs and Red Sox both needed a top-of-the-rotation starter, and didn't get one. Both are being criticized now for being too value-conscious, and/or too difficult to negotiate with. So let's play some woulda coulda shoulda, and see what might have been.   The Cubs It’s tough to envision the Cubs going deep into the playoffs with a rotation of Matthew Boyd, Colin...

How did our model do at the 2025 deadline?   Starting with the Josh Naylor trade, here’s the scorecard:   Number of trades: 64 Number accepted by the model: 57 Acceptance rate: 88% Average value variance per deal: 3.5   We’re pretty happy with that. The trade market is inherently inefficient, and there are multiple variables involved, so to go 57-7 feels good. Also, it’s a bit of an improvement on last year, where our acceptance rate was 83% and the average...

Welcome to the 2025 Trade Deadline Roundup. All trades will be added to this article as they are reported.     July 31 Milwaukee Brewers acquire RHP Shelby Miller ($0.4M), LHP Jordan Montgomery (-$7.5M) and cash (reportedly $5.5M) from the Arizona Diamondbacks in exchange for a PTBNL or cash Miller was an excellent story, returning to a Diamondbacks team for whom he'd disappointed mightily as a starter from 2016-18, only to turn into a dominant reliever and provide one of the only...

The Phillies and Mets, bitter rivals in the NL East, share a handful of weak spots, and could end up bidding against each other to acquire impactful pieces this month. They both need: A quality power bat Centerfield help Multiple high-leverage bullpen pieces   So let’s use BTV’s trade simulator to see which team can put together the more appealing trade package to fill those holes.   Power bat: Taylor Ward (Value: 7.6) The Angels are not out of it, but...

Each week, we update the values on our site. As we inch closer to the trade deadline, we’ll monitor the changes in value, both for obvious trade candidates and others that could be. This is an ongoing series. Notable movers this week (all values below are in $Ms) with trendline arrows indicating whether their value is improving or declining:   Prominent trade candidates: Joe Ryan Field value: 81.5 Salary owed: 13.2 Surplus: 68.3 (--) With the Twins sputtering, trade interest in...

Each week, we update the values on our site. As we inch closer to the trade deadline, we’ll monitor the changes in value, both for obvious trade candidates and others that could be. This is an ongoing series. Notable movers this week (all values below are in $Ms) with trendline arrows indicating whether their value is improving or declining:   Prominent trade candidates: Mitch Keller Field value: 94.0 Salary owed: 61.3 Surplus: 32.8 (⬆️) As the Pirates continue to toil at the...

Each week, we update the values on our site. As we inch closer to the trade deadline, we’ll monitor the changes in value, both for obvious trade candidates and others that could be. This is an ongoing series. Notable movers this week (all values below are in $Ms) with trendline arrows indicating whether their value is improving or declining:   Prominent trade candidates: Luis Severino Field value: 41.5 Salary owed: 49.5 Surplus: -8.0 (⬇️) Severino’s tenure with the Athletics...

Each week, we update the values on our site. As we inch closer to the trade deadline, we’ll monitor the changes in value, both for obvious trade candidates and others that could be. This is an ongoing series. Notable movers this week (all values below are in $Ms) with trendline arrows indicating whether their value is improving or declining:   Prominent trade candidates Jarren Duran Field value: 94.1 Salary owed: 40 Surplus: 54.1 (⬇️) The Rafael Devers trade may have cooled off...

Each week, we update the values on our site. As we inch closer to the trade deadline, we’ll monitor the changes in value, both for obvious trade candidates and others that could be. This is an ongoing series. Notable movers this week (all values below are in $Ms) with trendline arrows indicating whether their value is improving or declining:   Prominent trade candidates Jarren Duran Field value: 102.7 Salary owed: 40.3 Surplus: 62.5 (⬇️) Duran has been in the rumor mill of late,...

Each week, we update the values on our site. As we inch closer to the trade deadline, we’ll monitor the changes in value, both for obvious trade candidates and others that could be. This is an ongoing series. Notable movers this week (all values below are in $Ms) with trendline arrows indicating whether their value is improving or declining:   Trade candidates   Luis Robert Jr. Field value: 13 Salary owed: 11.7 Surplus: 1.3 (⬆️) Robert has perked up a tiny bit (maybe...