Rays & Padres

Submitted by: cruisinSD

Rays

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Jeremiah Estrada26MajorsRP437.520.716.813.516.820.2
Kash Mayfield20MinorsSP0005.84.75.87

Total Value:

22.6

Padres

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Yandy Diaz33Majors1BMedium230.7264.73.84.75.7
Pete Fairbanks31MajorsRPMedium19.872.82.22.83.3
Ryan Pepiot27MajorsSPLRPMedium347.532.515121518

Total Value:

22.5

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mp2891

I like this trade for the Rays. Losing Yandy’s bat in 2026 will hurt but it also takes the risk of 2027 off the table (ie: Yandy’s contract includes a 2027 vesting option in his age 36 season). Estrada is a huge improvement to Fairbanks, who is declining and much more expensive than Estrada, and the Rays can weather the loss of Pep. Plus, flipping a high leverage reliever at next year’s deadline should yield a better return than flipping a mid-rotation SP, should the Rays elect to do so. I also really like the potential of Mayfield, who would fill a big need in the Rays system as a lefty starter.

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