Diamondbacks & Mariners & Yankees
Submitted by: NOVOTNYZACK
Diamondbacks
Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harry Ford | 21 | Minors | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.4 | 15.5 | 19.4 | 23.3 | ||
Spencer Jones | 23 | Minors | OF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.2 | 8.1 | 10.2 | 12.2 |
Total Value:
29.60
Mariners
Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Naylor | 28 | Majors | 1B | DH | Medium | 0.4 | 8 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
Alek Thomas | 25 | Majors | CF | Low | 3.4 | 24.6 | 15.2 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 9.3 | 11.2 | |
Carlos Lagrange | 21 | Minors | SP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 5.4 | 6.4 |
Total Value:
18.20
Yankees
Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jalen Beeks | 32 | Majors | RP | Low | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | 1.2 | |
Merrill Kelly | 36 | Majors | SP | Medium | 0.4 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 5.5 | |
Pavin Smith | 29 | Majors | OF | 1B | Low | 2.4 | 12.8 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 7.4 |
Eugenio Suarez | 33 | Majors | 3B | Low | 0.4 | 11.7 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
Total Value:
17.30
Comments
3I think it's so hard to develop a trade simulation with the value they put on players specifically the Dbacks. I don't understand why Alek Thomas is valued at 9+ and Merrill Kelly is at 4ish. To me SP that are real solid are worth more IMO. I get that it's the final year of his deal but these values truly don't make sense.
You sort of answered your own question there, but here's the overview: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-major-leaguer We have a 93% accuracy rate with our model over 6+ years, so the basis for the trade values has been established. It's surplus value -- the amount of "field value" a player is worth (think what they'd be worth if they were a free agent) minus their salary (since the acquiring team in a trade has to also pay the player). This is all calculated over each player's span of control. Kelly only has two months of control post-deadline, whereas a player with more years of control will typically have more.
Does this calculate value based off of availability in the current market as well? "Buyer/Sellers" market? 5+ Teams need a 3B very badly and the Dbacks are holding the most productive player at that position.