Yankees & Athletics
Submitted by: lutwin1974
Yankees
Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Miller | 25 | Majors | RP | 5.4 | 107 | 51.3 | 55.7 | 44.6 | 55.7 | 66.9 |
Total Value:
55.7
Athletics
Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roderick Arias | 19 | Minors | SS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.3 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 16 | ||
Spencer Jones | 23 | Minors | OF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32.5 | 26 | 32.5 | 39.1 | ||
Chase Hampton | 22 | Minors | SP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.7 | 7.7 | 9.7 | 11.6 |
Total Value:
55.5
Comments
5Down vote for the A's. Spencer has scary K's and Hampton is hurting.
I've yet to see one trade that people like for Miller. I get he's freakish but he's starting to veer into the overvalued territory IMO. He is still a reliever and unproven as more than that.
Miller's value has been in this range for a while. The problem is it makes no sense for any team to trade a young, star-level talent when they have them under team control for another 5 years. Therefore any trade return has to be nonsensical.
It makes sense for a depleted, cheap organization to trade him. Does anyone see the As competing in the next 3 years? The closer that Oakland gets to the end of that control, the more difficult it will be to get value for him. And we all know there is 0% chance they are able to extend him, so that 5 years of control is really more like 3 because they'll be compelled to trade him before his higher arbitration figures kick in, because they're not going to want to have a reliever count for 1/5th of their entire payroll. Are they anywhere close to being a contender? Will they be in 4 years? If a star player isn't helping you reach the postseason, or fill the stands, or really be monetized in any way, then in a practical sense what good is he to you? And you're always playing a dangerous game with these max-effort pitchers, if he needs TJ in another year then that value takes a huge hit. They're going to hope that he stays healthy, they can stretch him out and he gains value as the years go on, and that's far from a certainty. There are always tradeoffs and risks, and there are legitimate reasons why the As should consider a trade if a return package better suits their timeline.
It makes sense for a depleted team to trade him if they can get good value, but even fair value deals are being rejected because a lot of people have it ingrained that you don't spend big on relief pitching because relievers are inconsistent and fungible.