As another postseason unfolds, we’ve been privy to yet another premature October exit from the Phillies. The competitive window that began as a Cinderella run in 2022 has quickly soured into four straight years of disappointment for a fan base in desperate search of a ring. President of Baseball Operations Dave Dombrowski has made a series of big-money, win-now moves in an effort to get his club across the finish line, which have yielded diminishing results year over year. It's fair to...

We’re fast approaching the Nov. 21 deadline for all MLB teams to tender player contracts. So which players are likely to be left out and non-tendered? We can leverage our model for clues. We’ve noticed that most teams will use surplus value as a key method for determining whether a player is worth what he’s expected to receive in arbitration – if he projects to be worth more than that number, he’s pretty certain to get a contract; if he’s under that number,...

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down opt-out news for Cody Bellinger, Alex Bregman and Jack Flaherty. Then, they discuss the offseason outlooks for the teams eliminated in the Divison Series round. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link below:     Download link:...

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down a handful of transactions from the last two months of the season. Then, they discuss the offseason outlooks for the teams eliminated in the Wild Card round. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link below:     Download link:...

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down the model's performance at the 2025 MLB Trade Deadline and all of the biggest trends seen in the market. Then, they analyze the biggest trades and the most active teams, including the Padres, Twins, Yankees and Mets. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link...